New Editorial: Cities and disasters: What can urban analytics do?

In the past I have blogged about disasters, but mainly from a social media or agent-based modeling perspective. However, after the devastating wildfires that impacted parts of Los Angeles County earlier this year led me to wonder how resilient are cities to such events? Or more generally, what role could urban analytics play on the various stages of disaster management (i.e., preparation, response, recovery, and mitigation), or how can data, models, and methods at the disposal of researchers be leveraged to better prepare us for future disasters and be linked to policy?

If these questions sound of interest, I encourage you to go and read  a short editorial that I recently published in Environment and Planning B entitled "Cities and Disasters: What can Urban Analytics Do?"

Full referece: 

Crooks, A.T. (2024), Cities and Disasters: What can Urban Analytics Do?, Environment and Planning B, 52(3): 523-526. (pdf)

Call for Papers: Integrating LLMs and Geospatial Foundation Models to Enhance Spatial Reasoning in ABMs

We are delighted to announce a special track on “Integrating Large-Language Models and Geospatial Foundation Models to Enhance Spatial Reasoning in ABMs” as part of the Social Simulation Conference 2025, 25th to 29th August 2025 at Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands. Full conference details can be found at the end of this email.

Abstract for the Special Track:

Recent developments in the use of large language models (LLMs) offer exciting opportunities to control agent behaviour in potentially more realistic and nuanced ways than has previously been possible. However, an LLM-backed agent can only interface with their surroundings through text prompts, which is severely limiting. The integration of large language models (LLMs) and geospatial foundation models (GFMs) presents an exciting opportunity to use AI techniques to advance agent-based modelling for spatial applications, potentially allowing for agents with more comprehensive behavioural realism, as well as an improved perception of their environment.

This special track invites papers that explore how AI techniques, such as LLMs and GFMs, can enrich spatial agent based models, raising new questions about their feasibility in modelling human behaviour, in comparison to conventional approaches. There are huge challenges around computational efficiency, sustainability, bias, model validation, and integration frameworks, and we welcome papers that consider these issues as well.

Paper submission deadlines and details: https://ssc2025.tbm.tudelft.nl/important-dates/

Paper types: 

• Long paper (10-12 pages, excluding references – long oral presentations, will be included in the post-proceedings)
• Short paper (6-9 pages, excluding references – short oral presentations, will be included in the post-proceedings)
• Extended abstract (3-4 pages, excluding references – short oral presentations, will not be included in the post-proceedings)

Track Organizers:

• Nick Malleson, University of Leeds, UK
• Alison Heppenstall, University of Glasgow, UK
• Ed Manley, University of Leeds, UK
• Andrew Crooks, University of Buffalo, US

Please feel free to get in touch with any of us in case of questions.

From print to perspective: A mixed-method analysis of the convergence and divergence of COVID-19 topics in newspapers and interviews

In previous posts we have noted how one can explore urban issues through newspapers, while at the same time we have used social media to explore trends in vaccinations. In a recently published paper in PLOS Digital Health entitled "From print to perspective: A mixed-method analysis of the convergence and divergence of COVID-19 topics in newspapers and interviews" with Qingqing Chen, Adam Sullivan, Jennifer Surtees, Laurene Tumiel-Berhalter and myself, we thought we would explore how COVID-19 was reported in newspapers and how this varied from interviews. 

The rationale behind this was that the COVID-19 pandemic has led to diverse experiences influenced by public health measures like lockdowns and social distancing. To explore these dynamics, we introduce a novel ’big-thick’ data approach that integrates extensive U.S. newspaper data with detailed interviews. By employing natural language processing (NLP) and geoparsing techniques, we identify key topics related to the pandemic and vaccinations both in newspapers and personal narratives from interviews, and compare the (spatial) convergences and divergences between them. 

We found that both sources converge to highlight the profound impacts of the pandemic on daily life. However, newspapers provide a macro-level perspective, predominately covering policy, public health efforts and economics, while interviews reveal the nuanced impacts at the micro-level, focusing on personal experiences, emotion and concerns. An intriguing finding is the pronounced concern regarding the reliability of news information from interviews. By showcasing both convergences and divergences in identified topics, our study enhances the understanding of key issues that both disseminated to and resonate with the public, contributing to the development of more effective communication strategies for future public health crises.

If this sounds of interest, below you can read the abstract to the paper, see some of the figures which include our workflow and some of the results. At the bottom of the post you can see the full reference and a link to the actual paper. While at https://figshare.com/s/339b1c0d059c189dd6a4?file=44583661 you can find the code we used for our analysis. 

Abstract:

In the face of the unprecedented COVID-19 pandemic, various government-led initiatives and individual actions (e.g., lockdowns, social distancing, and masking) have resulted in diverse pandemic experiences. This study aims to explore these varied experiences to inform more proactive responses for future public health crises. Employing a novel “big-thick” data approach, we analyze and compare key pandemic-related topics that have been disseminated to the public through newspapers with those collected from the public via interviews. Specifically, we utilized 82,533 U.S. newspaper articles from January 2020 to December 2021 and supplemented this “big” dataset with “thick” data from interviews and focus groups for topic modeling. Identified key topics were contextualized, compared and visualized at different scales to reveal areas of convergence and divergence. We found seven key topics from the “big” newspaper dataset, providing a macro-level view that covers public health, policies and economics. Conversely, three divergent topics were derived from the “thick” interview data, offering a micro-level view that focuses more on individuals’ experiences, emotions and concerns. A notable finding is the public’s concern about the reliability of news information, suggesting the need for further investigation on the impacts of mass media in shaping the public’s perception and behavior. Overall, by exploring the convergence and divergence in identified topics, our study offers new insights into the complex impacts of the pandemic and enhances our understanding of key issues both disseminated to and resonating with the public, paving the way for further health communication and policy-making.

An overview of the research workflow.

The monthly distribution of collected articles in the United States from January 2020 to December 2021.

An example of identified entities labeled with predefined entity types.

The spatial distribution of newspaper articles by different scales.

The spatial distribution of identified newspaper topics across different regions in New York State.

Ordered rank of identified topics by percentage from interviews.

Full reference:

Chen, Q., Crooks, A.T., Sullivan, A.J., Surtees, J.A. and Tumiel-Berhalter, L. (2025). From Print to Perspective: A mixed-method analysis of the convergence and divergence of COVID-19 topics in newspapers and interviews, PLOS Digital Health. Available at https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000736. (pdf)

New Directions in Mapping the Earth’s Surface with Citizen Science and Generative

In previous posts, we have written how large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT can be used in various urban analytical applications. We have kept exploring this potential especially with respect to citizen science applications. To this end we have just published a new paper in iScience, entitled "New Directions in Mapping the Earth’s Surface with Citizen Science and Generative AI". In the paper, lead by Linda See, we discuss how multi-modal LLMs (MLLMs) which are like LMMs but can take different forms of inputs (e.g., text, images, video) and output multi-modal information (e.g., take an image and output a description) could be leveraged to enhance citizen science land cover/land use mapping campaigns. If this sounds of interest, below you can read the abstract to the paper, see some of the figures we use to build our argument, while at the bottom of the post you can see the full reference and a link to the actual paper.

Abstract: 

As more satellite imagery has become openly available, efforts in mapping the Earth’s surface have accelerated. Yet the accuracy of these maps is still limited by the lack of in-situ data needed to train machine learning algorithms. Citizen science has proven to be a valuable approach for collecting in-situ data through applications like Geo-Wiki and Picture Pile, but better approaches for optimizing volunteer time are still required. Although machine learning is being used in some citizen science projects, advances in generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) are yet to be fully exploited. This paper discusses how generative AI could be harnessed for land cover/land use mapping by enhancing citizen science approaches with multi-modal large language models (MLLMs), including improvements to the spatial awareness of AI.

Visual interpretation tasks undertaken by ChatGPT for (a) a wetland/mangrove landscape in South America (b) an agricultural area in central Europe.

Visual interpretation tasks undertaken by ChatGPT for identification of natural and non-natural ecosystems where ChatGPT misclassified the images as non-natural for locations in (a) Chad and (b) Austria. In (c), the image from Colombia was classified as unsure by validators but natural by ChatGPT.

Integrating multi-modal Large Language Models (MLLMs) in a citizen science visual interpretation workflow.

Full reference : 

See, L., Chen, Q., Crooks, A., Bayas, J.C.L., Fraisl, D., Fritz, S., Georgieva, I., Hager, G., Hofer, M., and Lesiv, M., Malek, Ž., Milenković, M., Moorthy, I., Orduña-Cabrera, F., Pérez-Guzmán, K., Schepaschenko, D., Shchepashchenko, M., Steinhauser, J.and McCallum, I. (2025), New Directions in Mapping the Earth’s Surface with Citizen Science and Generative AI, iScience, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2025.111919. (pdf)

AGU

This past week we attended the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting in Washington DC. At the AGU we presented two abstracts. 

The first follows on our work with respect to using synthetic populations within agent-based models. This work was with Na Jiang, Fuzhen Yin and Boyu Wang and entitled "A Framework for Populating Urban Digital Twins with Agents." Or more specially why digital twins need agents. Below you can see our abstract and a couple of figures showing our synthetic population workflow and how we integrate these into agent-based models.  

Abstract:

Over the last few years, considerable efforts have been placed in creating digital twins from diverse fields ranging from engineering to urban planning and many things in-between. These digital twins have benefited from the growth and availability of computational power and data. For example, in urban planning the growth of computational resources and the explosion of spatial data sources(e.g. remote sensing) has lead to the creation and widespread adoption of detailed virtual urban environments or urban digital twins. However, we would argue that many of such works emphasize only the physical infrastructure or the built environment of the city instead of considering the key actors of urban systems: the people who live in them. In this work we aim to remedy this by introducing a framework that utilizes agent-based modeling to add humans to such urban digital twins. This framework consists of two components: 1)synthetic populations generated with census data; and 2) pipeline of using the population datasets for agent-based modeling applications within the urban digital twins domain. To demonstrate the utility of this framework, we have representative applications that showcase how digital twins can be created to study various urban phenomena (e.g., evacuation scenarios, traffic congestion and disease transmission). By doing so, we believe this framework will benefit researchers wishing to build urban digital twins and to explore complex urban issues with realistic populations. 

Workflow of utilizing synthetic populations within agent-based models.

Examples of agent-based models utilizing our synthetic popuation.

In a different presentation, we return to how one can use social media to monitor the world around us, in this case dust storms. This work entitled "Mining unconventional data sources: creating a social media-based catalog of dust events in the Western US" is collaboration with Stuart Evans and Festus Adegbola. Generally speaking we explore how social media has the potential for a new unconventional source of observations of windblown dust. If this sounds of interest, below you can read the abstract to the paper and see the visual overlap between social media posts about dust events and official National Weather Service (NWS) dust storm warning coverage. 

Abstract 

Complete observations of dust events are difficult, as dust’s spatial and temporal variability means satellites may miss dust due to overpass time or cloud coverage, while ground stations may miss dust due to not being in the plume. As a result, an unknown number of dust events go unrecorded in traditional datasets. Dust’s importance both for atmospheric processes and as a health and travel hazard makes detecting dust events whenever possible important, and in particular, studies of the health impacts of dust are limited by detailed exposure information, i.e. where is there dust and when. In recent years, social media platforms have provided an opportunity to access vast user-generated data. This research utilizes geotagged Flickr and Twitter posts referencing dust in the western US, and compares it to traditional datasets including blowing dust reports from the National Weather Service and satellite observations from Suomi-VIIRS. Results show that this unconventional dataset broadly recreates the observed spatial and seasonal distributions of dust. Daily analysis of the locations of the social media posts creates a novel catalog of dust events in the western US that can be used for further research. While this catalog is necessarily incomplete, it nonetheless provides a complementary list of events to those detected by traditional means. Analysis of individual events in this catalog shows that social media captures many dust events that previously went undetected by traditional datasets.

References:

Crooks, A.T., Jiang, N., Yin, F. and Wang, B. (2024), A Framework for Populating Urban Digital Twins with Agents, American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, 9th–13th December, Washington, DC. (pdf)

Evans, S., Adegbola, F. and Crooks, A.T. (2024), Mining Unconventional Data Sources: Creating a Social Media-based Catalog of Dust Events in the Western US, American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, 9th–13th December, Washington, DC. (pdf)